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[DAILY TRADING] NAS100, 15 June 2025 — At 30,255 With SpaceX IPO on Nasdaq

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Vantage is a global, multi-asset broker with a team of in-house writers and market analysts who produce educational and insightful trading content for traders of all levels.

Vantage Updated Mon, 2026 June 15 07:45

The Vantage NAS100 CFD was near 30,255.45 as of 06:39 UTC (14:39 GMT+8) on 15 June 2026. The Nasdaq index today trades near its highest level since early June, against the backdrop of a historic week for US markets.

SpaceX (Nasdaq: SPCX) began trading on 12 June 2026, raising $75 billion at $135 per share [1]. That is the largest IPO in history, eclipsing Saudi Aramco’s 2019 record. SPCX closed its first day up 19% at $160.95, valuing the company above $2 trillion.[2]

All prices are from the Vantage NAS100 CFD as of 06:39 UTC (14:39 GMT+8), 15 June 2026. Chart sourced from TradingView. This is not financial advice.

Nasdaq chart: what the 15-minute setup shows

The Nasdaq chart shows a sharp recovery from recent lows. The NAS100 fell to around 28,600 on 9 June [3] before steadily recovering through 10-11 June. Price crossed 29,600 on 12 June, coinciding with the SPCX debut, and reached a multi-session peak near 30,400 on 14 June. As of the chart timestamp, it is consolidating just above 30,255.

On the 15-min timeframe, the 50-period MA sits at 29,445.46 and the 200-period MA at 30,043.10. Price is above both. During the 9 June selldown, the index had broken well below both levels; the recovery since has been swift.

The RSI (14) on the TradingView setup used for this analysis reads 65.98, while its moving average is 71.13. The RSI has pulled back from recent highs while remaining above the neutral 50 level, suggesting bullish momentum is moderating after a strong multi-day advance.

NAS100 chart as of June 15, 2026
Figure 1: NAS100 (US 100 Cash CFD) 15-min chart. (TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/) Accessed on 15 June 2026. Data indicative, for informational purposes only.

SpaceX IPO and the Nasdaq 100 index angle

The Nasdaq 100 news that has drawn trader attention this week spans both the IPO price and the index mechanics that follow. The SpaceX listing has become a major market theme, though broader technology-sector sentiment remains an important driver of Nasdaq performance. Nasdaq revised its methodology effective 1 May 2026: a newly listed company ranked among the top 40 Nasdaq-100 constituents by market cap can join the index after just 15 trading days, down from up to three months.[4]

At a $2 trillion-plus valuation, SpaceX appears large enough to meet the market-cap threshold described in the revised methodology, subject to any additional Nasdaq eligibility requirements. ETF.com reported the Invesco QQQ Trust (around $495 billion in assets) would automatically hold SPCX upon inclusion.[4]

SpotGamma estimated passive buying from Nasdaq-100 trackers at $22-27 billion once inclusion triggers, though the firm describes this as a projection, not index operator guidance.[5] S&P Global separately confirmed it will maintain current S&P 500 profitability requirements, so SpaceX does not qualify for the S&P 500 at this stage.[6]

Key NAS100 levels

The table below covers the reference zones market participants are watching on the Vantage NAS100 CFD. These are not trade signals. Learn how to use support and resistance levels as the fundamental concepts in technical analysis here.

ZoneLevelNote
Resistance30,282 to 30,300Recent 15-min session high (as of 06:39 UTC, 15 June 2026)
Psychological30,000Round-number zone near the 15-min 200-period MA
Reference (200-period MA)30,04315-min 200-period MA as of 06:39 UTC, 15 June 2026
Reference (50-period MA)29,44515-min 50-period MA as of 06:39 UTC, 15 June 2026

Table 1: NAS100 reference levels as of 06:39 UTC (14:39 GMT+8), 15 June 2026. Source: TradingView (Vantage NAS100 CFD). Indicative only.

What to watch this week

  • SPCX options launch, 16 June 2026: SpaceX options begin trading on 16 June, two days after the IPO. Because SPCX options will be newly listed, traders will have limited historical options data to reference initially. The launch may attract additional speculative activity while implied-volatility expectations are still being established.
  • Nasdaq-100 inclusion window, Late June to early July 2026 (est.): Under the revised rules, eligibility is evaluated at day 7, announced at day 10, and implemented at day 15. Based on the 12 June listing, that points to early July as the anticipated passive rebalancing window. [4]
  • US macro data, Ongoing: Any Federal Reserve communication this week can shift rate expectations and Nasdaq price sentiment.

Managing exposure on the NAS100 CFD

Market participants often monitor the 15-min 200-period MA at 30,043 and the round-number 30,000 level as reference zones when managing downside exposure on NAS100 positions. The pending SPCX index inclusion adds a structural, event-driven element to NAS100 positioning that is less common. Traders with open positions may review their Stop Loss placement against these levels, particularly ahead of the SPCX options launch on 16 June.

Leverage amplifies both gains and losses on the Vantage NAS100 CFD. In a week where a single listing event could potentially influence passive fund flows by tens of billions of dollars based on some industry estimates, standard intraday range assumptions may be less reliable than usual. Traders often revisit their position sizing and margin usage before holding through event-risk windows.

RISK WARNING: CFDs are complex financial instruments and carry a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should ensure you fully understand the risks involved and carefully consider whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money before trading.

Disclaimer: The information is provided for educational purposes only and doesn’t take into account your personal objectives, financial circumstances, or needs. It does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to seek independent advice if necessary. The information has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained within. This material may contain historical or past performance figures and should not be relied on. Furthermore estimates, forward-looking statements, and forecasts cannot be guaranteed. The information on this site and the products and services offered are not intended for distribution to any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

References

[1] “SpaceX IPO makes history as largest ever. Stock gains 19% on first day – NPR” https://www.npr.org/2026/06/12/nx-s1-5855004/stock-ai-spacex-ipo-elon-musk Accessed on 15 June 2026.

[2] “SpaceX Stock: IPO Date, Share Price & News – Investing.com” https://www.investing.com/equities/spacex Accessed on 15 June 2026.

[3] “NAS100 Today: SpaceX IPO Pricing Eve, Nasdaq at 29,582 – Vantage Markets” https://www.vtg-mkt-apac.com/market-analysis/nas100-analysis-spacex-ipo-nasdaq-june-9-2026/ Accessed on 15 June 2026.

[4] “SpaceX IPO: Every ETF That Will Hold SPCX and When – ETF.com” https://www.etf.com/sections/news/spacex-ipo-every-etf-will-hold-spcx-and-when Accessed on 15 June 2026.

[5] “SpaceX IPO Index Inclusion: How Rule Changes Force Index Funds to Buy SPCX – SpotGamma” https://spotgamma.com/spacex-ipo-index-changes-spotgamma/ Accessed on 15 June 2026.

[6] “SpaceX IPO: Updates and Commentary – Kiplinger” https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/live/spacex-ipo-spcx-stock-updates-and-commentary Accessed on 15 June 2026.